You're Waiting For a Train...: Oct 28, 2011

Friday, October 28, 2011

Cardinals 6, Rangers 2

Unreal. Analysis to come on one of baseball's most unlikely champions ever.

Tribe Prospect Countdown: #34 RHP Matt Langwell

6'2" 225 lbs, 25 in 2012

2011 Stats (Akron - AA/ Columbus - AAA): 5-1, 3.01 ERA, 3 SV, 1.31 WHIP, .237 OBA, 3.7 BB/9, 9.3 K/9

So, I bet that you're asking "Why is Langwell ahead of Cory Burns?" Thanks to his gaudy saves numbers, you might have heard of Burns, while Langwell is a virtual unknown. Then, taking a look at the statisitcs, Burns beats Langwell across the board, yet I consider Matt a better prospect. Let me explain why.

(1) True MLB stuff - Burns has been incredibly successful as a finesse/deception pitcher. This does not often translate to the bigs. Langwell, on the other hand, has a solid low 90's fastball, which he can consistently command in a variety of situations. Even more importantly, Matt possesses a true plus pitch: his heavy slider. In the minors this repertoire yielded a bunch of strikeouts and a 1.10 GB/FB rate. While 1.10 does not seem a large number, when you pair it with his K's, Langwell allowed just 35% flyballs in 2011. As he progresses towards the majors, more and more hitters wil make contact with his best pitch, but the swinging strikes will likely translate to grounders, keeping that flyball rate down and encouraging success out of the pen.

(2) Body/Delivery - Although Burns' 6'1" 180 lb frame is not a hinderance, Langwell's physique projects much better to the next level. Combine this with the more conventional delivery that Matt utilizes and concern for injury is much lower.

(3) Head/Mentality - I have already stated that it is unlikely that Burns will close for the Indians. Over this past year, it had become painfully evident that there is a stark contrast between the mindset of closing and that of setting-up. Langwell has a head start in this respect, having two full season of 7th and 8th inning work under his belt. Thereby, he is better mentally prepared for the role he would likely serve in the big leagues.

All of this being said, there is a rather low ceiling for Matt Langwell. While he could spend several years at the Major League level, sliding into a middle reliever spot, he just as easily might come up shy altogether. And he will turn 26 in May, so time is a-wastin. I do not expect him to challenge for a opening day roster spot.

Up Next: #33 - RHP Steven Wright